Bad Decisions don’t just happen; they come from bad thinking.
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Bad Decisions don’t just happen; they come from bad thinking.
Trap 1: The Rosy Scenario
The name of this trap comes from an old government joke. In Washington D.C. any projection that sounded too optimistic was said to be written by “Rosy Scenario.” As you gather intel for your own decisions, you should be on the lookout for old Rosy.
Most leaders have a strong vision. We know what we want to see in the future, and we have a tendency to fit every new piece of information into that vision.
We get so wedded to the outcome that everything, even if it’s contrary, somehow supports the decision we’ve made. This is classic confirmation bias. That’s the thing we want to stay away from.
Get nosy, not rosy.
You have to understand the difference between what you think and what you can prove.
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