7

Retail store closures 'to sharply accelerate going forward': UBS research

 1 year ago
source link: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/retail-store-closures-to-sharply-accelerate-going-forward-ubs-research-100417328.html
Go to the source link to view the article. You can view the picture content, updated content and better typesetting reading experience. If the link is broken, please click the button below to view the snapshot at that time.
neoserver,ios ssh client

Retail store closures 'to sharply accelerate going forward': UBS research

Bed Bath & Beyond files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy
Bed Bath & Beyond files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy
Scroll back up to restore default view.
Brian Sozzi
·Executive Editor
Mon, April 24, 2023, 7:04 PM GMT+9·2 min read

Bed Bath & Beyond's (BBBY) bankruptcy filing on Sunday likely foreshadows other retail busts in the years ahead.

New research out of investment bank UBS underscores the implications of the costs related to operating retail stores, such as leases in top malls and hourly worker wages.

UBS retail analyst Michael Lasser estimates that 50,000 retail stores will close out of the current base of 940,000 stores in the United States by 2027, excluding gas and food service stations.

"While there was a pause on store closures over the last few years, we believe this activity is set to sharply accelerate moving forward," Lasser stated.

A Bed Bath & Beyond retail store in Elmsford, Westchester County, New York State on September 2, 2022.
A Bed Bath & Beyond retail store in Elmsford, Westchester County, New York State on September 2, 2022.

The retail sectors that will see the most closures, based on Lasser's work, includes clothing accessories and consumer electronics stores at an estimated 23,000 combined.

Lasser pointed to several key drivers for the looming closures:

  • A slowdown in consumer spending

  • A reduction of credit availability

  • The rising penetration of e-commerce shopping

  • Higher costs to operate retail stores

A decade removed from the demises of once-dominant retail chains Sports Authority, Circuit City, and Linens N' Things — and more recently Sears and Kmart — the age of online shopping is continuing to pressure retailers with too many physical stores open.

A Sears department store in West Covina, California that is due for closure after its parent company announced another 96 Sears and L-Mart stores will be closed by the end of the year, on November 09, 2019. - Only 182 Sears and Kmart stores will be left across the country following these closures. (Photo by Mark RALSTON / AFP) (Photo by MARK RALSTON/AFP via Getty Images)
A Sears department store in West Covina, California on November 09, 2019. (Photo by Mark RALSTON / AFP)

At the same time, the veteran analyst sees the store closure wave as an "investable" theme.

As weaker retail chains such as Bed Bath & Beyond vanish from the landscape, market share will further shift to strong national players.

Lasser calculates that if 50,000 stores close over the next five years and that the average sales per store is $5.7 million, it would translate to $285 billion of retail sales "up for grabs." Assuming that 26% of these sales go online, it would suggest large national chains like Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and Costco (COST) have the potential to haul in $210 billion in sales, Lasser believes.

"Well capitalized, efficient, market share taking retailers will be fine," retail expert and J Rogers Kniffen WorldWide CEO Jan Kniffen told Yahoo Finance. "Poorly capitalized retailers who don't matter anymore, like Bed Bath & Beyond, are in trouble."

Recommended Stories

About Joyk


Aggregate valuable and interesting links.
Joyk means Joy of geeK