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The fate of the world economy may depend on what happens to a company most Ameri...

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The fate of the world economy may depend on what happens to a company most Americans have never heard of

Avery Hartmans,Jacob Zinkula
Sat, October 22, 2022, 6:00 PM·10 min read
Military helicopters carrying large Taiwan flags conduct a flyby rehearsal
Military helicopters flying the Taiwanese flag over Taiwan, which China claims as its own. Escalating rhetoric between China and the US over Taiwan is sparking concern over the world's largest semiconductor company.Ceng Shou Yi/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • The fate of the global economy may rest on the shoulders of one company: TSMC.

  • TSMC is the world's biggest chipmaker — its chips power everything from cars to iPhones.

  • But US-China tensions, and China's standoff with Taiwan, could cost the global economy trillions.

On a tiny island off the coast of China, one company manufactures a product used across the globe for countless household products as varied as PCs and washing machines.

And as that island — Taiwan — worries about the threat of a standoff between the US and China, the world's economy holds its breath. That's because there could be trillions of dollars' worth of economic activity tied to that one company: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, the world's biggest chipmaker.

Industry watchers say an escalating dispute between the US and China over Taiwan could drag down the global economy, given the fact that no other company makes such advanced chips at such a high volume. If TSMC goes offline, they say, the production of everything from cars to iPhones could screech to a halt.

"If China would invade Taiwan, that would be the biggest impact we've seen to the global economy — possibly ever," Glenn O'Donnell, the vice president and research director at Forrester, told Insider. "This could be bigger than 1929."

What is TSMC?

Aerial view of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company in in Nanjing, Jiangsu Province of China
Aerial view of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company in in Nanjing, Jiangsu Province of China


TSMC's factory in Nanjing, in China's Jiangsu province.VCG/VCG via Getty Images

While TSMC may not be a household name, you almost certainly own something that's powered by its chips.

TSMC is in the foundry business, meaning it doesn't design its own chips but instead produces them at fabrication plants for other companies. The company accounts for over half of the global semiconductor market, and when it comes to advanced processors that number is, by some estimates, as high as 90%. In fact, even the best chip from China's top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC, has been said to be about five years behind TSMC's.

TSMC counts Apple as its biggest customer, supplying the California tech giant with the chips that power iPhones. In fact, most of the world's roughly 1.4 billion smartphone processors are produced by TSMC, as are about 60% of the chips used by automakers, according to The Wall Street Journal.

A chip being tested in a lab in Taiwan.Container ships waiting off the coast of the congested ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, in California, on September 29, 2021.A Chinese military parade in June 2020.President Joe Biden holding the signed CHIPs Act in August.

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